Poultry trade predictions for 2007
The US Department of Agriculture's Foreign
Agricultural Service has prepared a report that provides an overview of global
poultry trade predictions for 2007.
The main forecast for the year is that meat and poultry trade will be
stronger, owing to a decline in disease-related restrictions.
The report states: â€œPoultry trade by selected countries will remain strong
in 2007. Exports by major traders ofâ€¦broiler meat will increase byâ€¦4.1 percent.
Trade is expected to continue to recover from animal disease outbreaks [such as]
and [its] resulting trade impact.â€
US broiler meat exports will increase 2.2 percent in 2007 to 2.5 million tons.
US turkey exports are also forecast to experience strong growth in 2007 rising
7.9 percent to 261,000 tons.
Following a succession of annual increases in exports from 1999-2005,
Brazilian broiler exports are expected to decrease in 2006 due to weakening
demand in some of its major export markets.
Despite a forecasted import decline in broiler meat imports by Russia and
Japan in 2007, imports by major traders are forecast to increase over 3 percent
to over 5.3 million tons.
EU broiler meat imports are expected to increase substantially in 2006 (15
percent) and are forecast to increase nearly 8 percent in 2007 to 645,000
Russia, the largest importer of broiler meat, is forecast to decrease
imports in 2007 by over 7 percent to nearly 1.2 million tons. Russian imports
are forecast to decrease as Russian poultry production has been increasing
steadily in recent years and is expected to reach another record in 2007. The US
supplies over 60 percent of its poultry import needs and the rest is covered
mainly by Brazil.
Turkey meat imports by selected countries are forecast at 459,000 tons in
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